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Meteo puzzle

Large parts of Central and Southern Europe are currently under the influence of high pressure. The high has several centres, one of which was over the Balkans at midday today («Elisabeth»), and another one built up over the English Channel («Feuka»).

weak warm front

Over the summit of the Säntis, dense cloud fields repeatedly passed through during the morning. The cloud base briefly dropped to 2700 to 3000 meters.

Over the summit of the Säntis

 

dense cloud fields repeatedly passed through in the morning. The cloud base briefly dropped to 2700 to 3000 meters. (Source: https://saentis.roundshot.com)
A small weak point was identified between the two high-pressure cells mentioned above. A low-pressure area in the Baltic/Russia border region led a warm front southeastward. This grazed Switzerland, panama phone number library mainly in the morning and at midday, with partly extensive cloud fields. The eastern parts of the country in particular, but also the Valais and the southern side of the Alps were affected in the first phase.

 

Increasing high pressure influence – very mild in the mountains

As the day progressed, the high pressure influence increased again. The high will continue to determine the weather in the coming week, and will even become a little stronger. As the high sinks (“subsidence”), the mountains in particular will experience further warming. The zero degree limit will rise to around 3200 meters at the start of the week. the world cleanup day At 2000 meters, the temperature is likely to rise to around 6 degrees.

Course of the forecast zero degree limit from the COSMO-2E forecast model of MeteoSwiss until Thursday evening (February 16, 2023).
Course of the forecast zero degree limit from the COSMO-2E forecast model of MeteoSwiss until Thursday evening (February 16, 2023).
The warming will be felt a little less in the lowlands, although it will also be milder there. At the start of the week, the probability of high fog will temporarily increase, but over the course of the week the air will become significantly drier again. Negative temperatures are therefore still to be expected in many places at night.

And the next rainfall?
The high pressure area will remain with us until the end of germany cell number the week. The latest forecast documents show a (temporary?) weakening of the high from Friday (February 17, 2023). Whether or not there will be some precipitation is still uncertain at the moment.

Ensemble forecast of precipitation (mm/6h) from 52 model calculations for the next ten days. Left for Lugano, right for Bern.
Ensemble forecast of precipitation (mm/6h) from 52 model calculations for the next ten days. Left for Lugano, right for Bern. In the north, the probability of precipitation next weekend is slightly higher than in the south. On Friday and Saturday (17/18 February) less than half of the calculations also show precipitation in Bern. On Sunday and Monday (19/20 February) it is slightly more than half of the calculations. (Source: European Centre for Medium-Range.

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